REGRESSION ALERT

Ryan O'Reilly

NSH●C●Age 35.0Veteran 35

Pythia Score

-45.5

-1000+100

Regression Risk

73 / 100

Caliber71

The Oracle's Read

The points are outrunning the underlying game, and at this age there's little upside to bail it out — production should slip.

Finishing Luck37

Process Edge7

Role Trajectory60

Age Curve10

Points/602.69

Goals25

Expected Goals23.9

Shots/605.6

TOI/GP20.4

Games81

Career History

17 seasons · MoneyPuck.com · advanced metrics from 2008-09

Season ▲	Team	Age	GP	G	A	P	P/60	xG	xG/60	Sh	Sh/60	TOI	PP
2009-10	COL	19.0	81	8	18	26	1.15	9.9	0.44	135	6.0	16.8	0.57
2010-11	COL	20.0	74	13	13	26	1.31	11.5	0.58	119	6.0	16.1	0.60
2011-12	COL	21.0	81	18	37	55	2.09	17.2	0.65	189	7.2	19.5	2.25
2012-13	COL	22.0	29	6	14	20	2.24	5.7	0.63	66	7.4	18.5	2.37
2013-14	COL	23.0	80	28	36	64	2.42	21.9	0.83	201	7.6	19.8	2.49
2014-15	COL	24.0	82	17	38	55	2.04	21.4	0.79	171	6.3	19.7	2.35
2015-16	BUF	25.0	68	20	36	56	2.28	15.8	0.64	147	6.0	21.7	3.08
2016-17	BUF	26.0	74	20	35	55	2.10	19.6	0.75	190	7.3	21.2	2.72
2017-18	BUF	27.0	81	24	37	61	2.17	24.6	0.88	230	8.2	20.8	3.39
2018-19	STL	28.0	82	28	47	75	2.65	24.6	0.87	234	8.3	20.7	2.65
2019-20	STL	29.0	71	12	48	60	2.49	14.4	0.60	118	4.9	20.3	2.66
2020-21	STL	30.0	56	24	30	54	2.79	13.1	0.68	129	6.7	20.8	2.54
2021-22	STL	31.0	78	21	37	58	2.34	23.2	0.94	168	6.8	19.1	2.53
2022-23	TOR	32.0	53	16	14	30	1.89	13.4	0.85	102	6.4	17.9	1.79
2023-24	NSH	33.0	82	26	43	69	2.55	29.1	1.08	180	6.7	19.8	3.18
2024-25	NSH	34.0	79	21	32	53	2.12	28.8	1.15	151	6.0	19.0	2.65
2025-26	NSH	35.0	81	25	49	74	2.69	23.9	0.87	154	5.6	20.4	2.69
Career			1232	327	564	891	2.22	318.2	0.79	2684	6.7	19.6

Basic stats left of the divider; Pythia's advanced metrics (xG, xG/60, shots/60, TOI/GP, PP/GP) to the right. Plus-minus is not in MoneyPuck data.