Pending 2026 UFAs

The free-agent class with Pythia's read on each one — a breakout/ regression call where we have one, the honest descriptive profile where we don't (defencemen, established stars, fringe).

Curated, not a live contract feed. Contract status is hand-curated from public free-agency boards; the cards show the underlying numbers we already score and profile. Status moves around as teams sign and trade — see “Latest moves” below.

50 pending UFAs · 14 with a live Pythia call ·4 goaltenders · 2026 class

Michael Bunting

DAL●L●Age 30.4

The Oracle's Read

The durable shot-quality track record is carrying this, not a one-year spike — the underlying value has been there a while and the scoring has room to climb to match a genuine top-six profile.

Finishing Luck71

Role Trajectory17

Expected Goals17.0

Jaden Schwartz

SEA●L●Age 33.6

The Oracle's Read

The durable shot-quality track record is carrying this, not a one-year spike — the underlying value has been there a while and the scoring has room to climb to match a genuine top-six profile.

Finishing Luck52

Role Trajectory4

Expected Goals11.7

Erik Haula

NSH●L●Age 34.9Veteran 35

Regression Risk

The Oracle's Read

At 35, the aging curve is working against another strong season.

Finishing Luck60

Role Trajectory89

Expected Goals16.1

Alex Tuch

BUF●R●Age 29.7Prime 30

Regression Risk

The Oracle's Read

At 30, the aging curve is working against another strong season, though his shot-quality pedigree gives him a better chance to hold it. Recent points have also outrun the underlying game.

Finishing Luck6

Role Trajectory23

Expected Goals23.3

Patrick Kane

DET●R●Age 37.2Veteran 37

Regression Risk

The Oracle's Read

At 37, the aging curve is working against another strong season.

Finishing Luck47

Role Trajectory60

Expected Goals16.5

Eeli Tolvanen

SEA●R●Age 26.8

The Oracle's Read

The signals are mixed — the underlying profile doesn't point strongly toward a jump to top-six scoring, so expect production near the current level.

Finishing Luck74

Role Trajectory93

Expected Goals15.9

Oliver Bjorkstrand

TBL●R●Age 30.8

The Oracle's Read

The underlying profile doesn't point up yet — shot quality and usage don't support a near-term step toward a top-six scoring role.

Finishing Luck80

Role Trajectory59

Expected Goals16.1

Andrei Kuzmenko

LAK●L●Age 30.0Prime 30

Regression Risk

The Oracle's Read

At 30, the aging curve is working against another strong season. Recent points have also outrun the underlying game.

Finishing Luck12

Role Trajectory55

Expected Goals9.8

Ilya Mikheyev

CHI●R●Age 31.3

The Oracle's Read

The underlying profile doesn't point up yet — shot quality and usage don't support a near-term step toward a top-six scoring role.

Finishing Luck37

Role Trajectory47

Expected Goals17.1

Victor Olofsson

CGY●L●Age 30.5

The Oracle's Read

The underlying profile doesn't point up yet — shot quality and usage don't support a near-term step toward a top-six scoring role.

Finishing Luck72

Role Trajectory68

Expected Goals16.1

Claude Giroux

OTT●R●Age 38.1Veteran 38

Regression Risk

The Oracle's Read

The points are outrunning the underlying game, and at this age there's little upside to bail it out — production should slip.

Finishing Luck55

Role Trajectory29

Expected Goals15.6

REGRESSION ALERT

Mats Zuccarello

MIN●R●Age 38.4Veteran 38

Regression Risk

The Oracle's Read

The points are outrunning the underlying game, and at this age there's little upside to bail it out — production should slip.

Finishing Luck40

Role Trajectory42

Expected Goals14.7

REGRESSION ALERT

Scott Laughton

LAK●C●Age 31.7

The Oracle's Read

The underlying profile doesn't point up yet — shot quality and usage don't support a near-term step toward a top-six scoring role.

Finishing Luck23

Role Trajectory35

Expected Goals10.7

REGRESSION ALERT

Kasperi Kapanen

EDM●R●Age 29.5

The Oracle's Read

The underlying profile doesn't point up yet — shot quality and usage don't support a near-term step toward a top-six scoring role.

Finishing Luck18

Role Trajectory92

Expected Goals6.2

Established scorer

Viktor Arvidsson

BOS●L●Age 32.8

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/603.2295th pctile (F)

Expected G/601.3696th pctile (F)

Shots/6010.497th pctile (F)

Expected Goals22.9

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Not enough recent ice time

Anthony Mantha

PIT●R●Age 31.4

Fewer than 40 games across the last two seasons — not enough recent minutes for the model to score.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/603.1293rd pctile (F)

Expected G/600.8961st pctile (F)

Shots/607.474th pctile (F)

Expected Goals18.3

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

Alex Ovechkin

WSH●L●Age 40.4

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/602.6883rd pctile (F)

Expected G/601.4298th pctile (F)

Shots/6010.297th pctile (F)

Expected Goals33.8

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

Vladimir Tarasenko

MIN●R●Age 34.1

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/602.5279th pctile (F)

Expected G/601.0681st pctile (F)

Shots/607.981st pctile (F)

Expected Goals19.7

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

Mason Marchment

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/602.2972nd pctile (F)

Expected G/600.8859th pctile (F)

Shots/606.048th pctile (F)

Expected Goals17.3

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

Corey Perry

TBL●R●Age 40.7

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/602.2671st pctile (F)

Expected G/601.0985th pctile (F)

Shots/606.965th pctile (F)

Expected Goals17.9

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

Bobby McMann

SEA●C●Age 29.6

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/602.2270th pctile (F)

Expected G/600.9164th pctile (F)

Shots/608.891st pctile (F)

Expected Goals18.9

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

John Carlson

ANA●D●Age 36.1

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/602.1996th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.4296th pctile (D)

Shots/605.690th pctile (D)

Expected Goals11.5

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Not enough recent ice time

Boone Jenner

CBJ●C●Age 32.6

Fewer than 40 games across the last two seasons — not enough recent minutes for the model to score.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/602.1267th pctile (F)

Expected G/601.0075th pctile (F)

Shots/607.473rd pctile (F)

Expected Goals17.9

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

Jack Roslovic

EDM●C●Age 29.0

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.9962nd pctile (F)

Expected G/601.0075th pctile (F)

Shots/607.880th pctile (F)

Expected Goals18.1

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

A.J. Greer

FLA●L●Age 29.1

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.9861st pctile (F)

Expected G/600.9873rd pctile (F)

Shots/606.456th pctile (F)

Expected Goals15.9

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Established scorer

Anders Lee

NYI●L●Age 35.6

Already scoring above the top-six bar — past the breakout window. Pythia calls players who haven't arrived yet, so there's no breakout score here.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.9760th pctile (F)

Expected G/601.5399th pctile (F)

Shots/609.394th pctile (F)

Expected Goals32.6

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Not enough recent ice time

Alexander Kerfoot

UTA●C●Age 31.5

Fewer than 40 games across the last two seasons — not enough recent minutes for the model to score.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.7953rd pctile (F)

Expected G/600.486th pctile (F)

Shots/603.96th pctile (F)

Expected Goals3.5

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Not enough recent ice time

Teddy Blueger

VAN●C●Age 31.5

Fewer than 40 games across the last two seasons — not enough recent minutes for the model to score.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.7651st pctile (F)

Expected G/600.6829th pctile (F)

Shots/605.329th pctile (F)

Expected Goals6.6

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Rasmus Andersson

VGK●D●Age 29.3

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.5089th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.4194th pctile (D)

Shots/605.790th pctile (D)

Expected Goals12.9

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Tony DeAngelo

NYI●D●Age 30.3

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.4486th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.3086th pctile (D)

Shots/606.194th pctile (D)

Expected Goals7.4

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

John Klingberg

SJS●D●Age 33.5

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.4185th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.2982nd pctile (D)

Shots/604.169th pctile (D)

Expected Goals5.5

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Nick Blankenburg

COL●D●Age 27.7

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.4185th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.3792nd pctile (D)

Shots/604.272nd pctile (D)

Expected Goals6.2

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Ryan Shea

PIT●D●Age 29.0

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.3983rd pctile (D)

Expected G/600.1533rd pctile (D)

Shots/602.922nd pctile (D)

Expected Goals3.8

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Brent Burns

COL●D●Age 40.9

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.3681st pctile (D)

Expected G/600.2778th pctile (D)

Shots/606.797th pctile (D)

Expected Goals6.9

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Logan Stanley

BUF●D●Age 27.7

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.2373rd pctile (D)

Expected G/600.2158th pctile (D)

Shots/604.577th pctile (D)

Expected Goals4.4

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Jacob Trouba

ANA●D●Age 31.9

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.1469th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.2573rd pctile (D)

Shots/605.488th pctile (D)

Expected Goals7.6

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Below breakout threshold

Jason Dickinson

EDM●C●Age 30.6

A fringe scoring role this season — below the breakout-candidate threshold, not a breakout profile.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/601.0414th pctile (F)

Expected G/600.487th pctile (F)

Shots/604.414th pctile (F)

Expected Goals7.8

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Not enough recent ice time

Patrik Laine

MTL●L●Age 27.8

Fewer than 40 games across the last two seasons — not enough recent minutes for the model to score.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Expected G/600.41

Expected Goals0.4

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Radko Gudas

ANA●D●Age 35.7

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.8650th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.1321st pctile (D)

Shots/604.270th pctile (D)

Expected Goals2.0

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Mario Ferraro

SJS●D●Age 27.4

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.8042nd pctile (D)

Expected G/600.1534th pctile (D)

Shots/603.339th pctile (D)

Expected Goals4.4

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Below breakout threshold

Colton Sissons

VGK●C●Age 32.2

A fringe scoring role this season — below the breakout-candidate threshold, not a breakout profile.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.807th pctile (F)

Expected G/600.7133rd pctile (F)

Shots/605.430th pctile (F)

Expected Goals9.7

Percentiles are within the forwards pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Connor Murphy

EDM●D●Age 32.9

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.7333rd pctile (D)

Expected G/600.1213th pctile (D)

Shots/603.028th pctile (D)

Expected Goals2.8

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Jamie Oleksiak

SEA●D●Age 33.1

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.6829th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.1536th pctile (D)

Shots/603.545th pctile (D)

Expected Goals3.4

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Jeremy Lauzon

VGK●D●Age 28.8

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.6728th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.2056th pctile (D)

Shots/603.761st pctile (D)

Expected Goals3.9

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Andrew Peeke

BOS●D●Age 27.9

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.5617th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.1429th pctile (D)

Shots/603.341st pctile (D)

Expected Goals3.5

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Blueline model coming

Brett Kulak

COL●D●Age 32.1

Pythia scores forwards today. A defenceman model is on the roadmap — no skater breakout score for blueliners yet.

Underlying profile · 2025-26descriptive · not a call

Points/600.4610th pctile (D)

Expected G/600.1318th pctile (D)

Shots/603.652nd pctile (D)

Expected Goals3.4

Percentiles are within the defencemen pool this season — a descriptive read of the underlying game, not a forecast.

Goaltenders

Goalie performance doesn't carry year-to-year, so there's no Pythia Score here — just the descriptive GSAx profile (goals saved above expected).

G · PIT · 50 GP 2025-26

GSAx+8this season

Frederik Andersen

G · CAR · 35 GP 2025-26

GSAx-3this season

Sergei Bobrovsky

G · FLA · 52 GP 2025-26

GSAx-12this season

G · DET · 34 GP 2025-26

GSAx-13this season

Share