REGRESSION ALERT

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

NYI●C●Age 33.2Veteran 33

Pythia Score

-43.6

-1000+100

Regression Risk

72 / 100

Caliber40

The Oracle's Read

The points are outrunning the underlying game, and at this age there's little upside to bail it out — production should slip.

Finishing Luck16

Process Edge8

Role Trajectory2

Age Curve10

Points/601.81

Goals17

Expected Goals13.3

Shots/604.2

TOI/GP15.7

Games74

Career History

14 seasons · MoneyPuck.com · advanced metrics from 2008-09

Season ▲	Team	Age	GP	G	A	P	P/60	xG	xG/60	Sh	Sh/60	TOI	PP
2012-13	OTT	20.2	9	2	2	4	2.32	1.3	0.75	14	8.1	11.5	0.09
2013-14	OTT	21.2	28	2	0	2	0.42	4.1	0.85	31	6.5	10.2	0.00
2014-15	OTT	22.2	50	10	9	19	1.61	8.4	0.71	97	8.2	14.2	0.17
2015-16	OTT	23.2	82	19	24	43	1.88	15.9	0.70	133	5.8	16.7	0.78
2016-17	OTT	24.2	82	12	21	33	1.50	19.9	0.90	169	7.7	16.1	0.31
2017-18	OTT	25.2	78	14	15	29	1.33	15.4	0.71	147	6.8	16.7	0.99
2018-19	OTT	26.2	39	4	8	12	1.04	7.1	0.61	83	7.2	17.8	0.89
2019-20	NYI	27.2	67	26	16	42	1.97	18.6	0.87	152	7.1	19.1	1.64
2020-21	NYI	28.2	54	14	14	28	1.85	10.8	0.72	81	5.4	16.8	1.74
2021-22	NYI	29.2	77	18	21	39	1.72	14.2	0.63	126	5.6	17.7	2.00
2022-23	NYI	30.2	70	13	27	40	1.95	18.7	0.91	123	6.0	17.6	2.31
2023-24	NYI	31.2	82	11	22	33	1.52	13.7	0.63	101	4.6	15.9	1.47
2024-25	NYI	32.2	79	14	28	42	1.88	20.6	0.92	120	5.4	17.0	1.51
2025-26	NYI	33.2	74	17	18	35	1.81	13.3	0.69	82	4.2	15.7	0.33
Career			871	176	225	401	1.67	181.9	0.76	1459	6.1	16.5

Basic stats left of the divider; Pythia's advanced metrics (xG, xG/60, shots/60, TOI/GP, PP/GP) to the right. Plus-minus is not in MoneyPuck data.