REGRESSION ALERT

Mark Scheifele

WPG●C●Age 32.9Veteran 33

Pythia Score

-50.7

-1000+100

Regression Risk

75 / 100

Caliber70

The Oracle's Read

The points are outrunning the underlying game, and at this age there's little upside to bail it out — production should slip.

Finishing Luck10

Process Edge5

Role Trajectory72

Age Curve21

Points/603.50

Goals36

Expected Goals27.8

Shots/606.0

TOI/GP21.5

Games82

Career History

15 seasons · MoneyPuck.com · advanced metrics from 2008-09

Season ▲	Team	Age	GP	G	A	P	P/60	xG	xG/60	Sh	Sh/60	TOI	PP
2011-12	WPG	18.9	7	1	0	1	0.78	1.2	0.95	5	3.9	10.9	1.19
2012-13	WPG	19.9	4	0	0	0	0.00	0.6	0.78	6	7.8	11.5	0.68
2013-14	WPG	20.9	63	13	21	34	1.98	12.1	0.71	100	5.8	16.4	1.89
2014-15	WPG	21.9	82	15	34	49	1.93	19.7	0.78	170	6.7	18.6	2.33
2015-16	WPG	22.9	71	29	32	61	2.78	24.4	1.11	194	8.8	18.5	2.61
2016-17	WPG	23.9	79	32	50	82	3.03	26.0	0.96	160	5.9	20.6	2.81
2017-18	WPG	24.9	60	23	37	60	2.90	18.6	0.90	125	6.0	20.7	2.91
2018-19	WPG	25.9	82	38	44	82	2.76	28.1	0.94	200	6.7	21.8	3.41
2019-20	WPG	26.9	71	29	43	72	2.79	26.8	1.04	169	6.6	21.8	3.18
2020-21	WPG	27.9	56	21	42	63	3.22	16.1	0.82	126	6.4	21.0	3.12
2021-22	WPG	28.9	67	29	41	70	2.97	20.4	0.87	159	6.7	21.1	3.22
2022-23	WPG	29.9	81	42	26	68	2.46	32.7	1.18	206	7.5	20.5	3.39
2023-24	WPG	30.9	74	25	47	72	2.89	22.6	0.91	154	6.2	20.2	3.05
2024-25	WPG	31.9	82	39	48	87	3.11	28.8	1.03	181	6.5	20.4	2.60
2025-26	WPG	32.9	82	36	67	103	3.50	27.8	0.95	175	6.0	21.5	3.07
Career			961	372	532	904	2.80	305.9	0.95	2130	6.6	20.2

Basic stats left of the divider; Pythia's advanced metrics (xG, xG/60, shots/60, TOI/GP, PP/GP) to the right. Plus-minus is not in MoneyPuck data.